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I read that Citadel Securities is seriously considering entering the prediction markets. Honestly, it makes sense for an actor of this size — geopolitics has become a real risk for investors, and predictions really help hedge against it.
The CEO mentioned the U.S. elections as an example, and honestly, with the rise of Kalshi and Polymarket, the market is growing quickly. Citadel Securities already invested in Kalshi last year (185 million), so it makes sense they’re taking a closer look. However, they’re not interested in sports betting — it’s the geopolitical risks that attract them.
Do you think this will really boost liquidity in these markets?