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I just reviewed the ETF flow data and see that there was a quite interesting movement recently. The spot Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. received over $240 million in inflows, with BlackRock IBIT leading with about $137 million. Fidelity also added $78 million. This is what keeps BTC holding above $72K, although right now it’s hovering around $77.2K according to the latest readings.
The curious thing is that while these strong institutional flows are arriving, analysts are divided. Some see Bitcoin potentially breaking upward into the $80K-$85K range, but others warn that the market structure is weak. The critical level right now is that $72K-$74K zone. If Bitcoin manages to consolidate well above it, we’ll probably see a stronger push. If it rejects, then yes, more significant corrections could follow.
What catches my attention is the position of large speculators in derivatives. They are net long, similar to what happened before the 2023 breakout. But beware, this doesn’t guarantee anything. Large speculators tend to be in extreme positions just before sharp moves, so there’s quite a bit of volatility ahead. Companies like MicroStrategy continue accumulating Bitcoin, which provides some support, but the speculative positions are very inflated. For now, Bitcoin remains at that crossroads: either it breaks strongly upward or we see corrections. Everything depends on whether it holds these support levels.