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CITIC Futures: Smooth purchase and sale of live pigs, pig prices retreating
The driving factors behind the rebound in live pigs are unlikely to be sustained, and medium-term pig supply pressure still exists. According to monitoring by Steel Union, the number of piglets born in the first quarter of 2026 is expected to increase, so the pressure to slaughter pigs in the second and third quarters will still be present. The downward cycle is still ongoing, and industry participants are advised to watch for short-selling hedging opportunities when prices rise. Considering the reduction in capacity and the improvement in maximum sustainable yield (MSY) per head, the pig cycle turning point is expected to be delayed until the fourth quarter. Currently, capacity reduction is not significant, and the pace of the new cycle in the distant future is expected to be moderate. (CITIC Futures)