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Just noticed Circle (CRCL) has been on a tear lately - up 86% over the past month and jumped another 9.7% yesterday. Pretty wild move. The main drivers seem to be oil prices surging 35% since late Feb due to Iran tensions, which is pushing inflation expectations higher and probably delaying those Fed rate cuts everyone was waiting for. That's actually good news for stablecoin issuers like Circle since they make money off dollar holdings in this environment.
But here's the thing - there's also a serious short squeeze happening. Hedge funds had massive short positions before Circle's solid Q4 results dropped, and now they're scrambling to cover. Short interest is sitting at around 13% of shares outstanding, so that's amplifying the move even more. Combination of fundamentals and technical pressure creating a perfect storm.