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The probability of Polymarket market betting that "Kelp DAO will share the loss from rsETH bridge theft" is only 25%.
ChainCatcher message, Polymarket’s latest data shows that the current market odds of “Kelp DAO sharing the loss” is 25%.
This market is set up around the April 19th Kelp DAO bridge attack incident. The attacker exploited a cross-chain message vulnerability in LayerZero to withdraw approximately $292 million worth of rsETH from the bridge, causing the collateral backing of rsETH on the L2 network to be impaired.
According to Polymarket market rules, if Kelp DAO announces or implements a mechanism before April 30th that shares some or all of the loss with the mainnet rsETH holders (rather than having all the loss borne by L2 holders), the market will be judged as “Yes”; otherwise, it will be “No”.