Yang Guang bit BTC 4.23 Today's strategy: oscillating at high levels, betting on fluctuations, Bitcoin 77,900 retest for more longs 🚀

【Latest news】 (Source: CCTV News, Reuters, White House statement, Iran Tasnim News Agency)
The US-Iran ceasefire extension until negotiations are completed, the White House has not set a fixed deadline, the market's core betting point is April 26, the US maintains sanctions and blockade on Iran; Iran explicitly refuses to participate in the recent negotiations claimed by the US, only engaging in verbal pressure tactics, no substantial military conflict, overall risk aversion sentiment in the market has eased, no systemic panic risk.
【Market status】 (As of 12:00 on April 23, Source: TradingView, Glassnode)
BTC price around 77,900 USD oscillating at high levels, 24-hour volatility range 76,132-79,472 USD, short-term bulls and bears intensify;
Technical: 4-hour MA20/MA60 golden cross is stable, Bollinger Band middle band at 76,850 is the core support, short-term resistance at 78,500, previous high at 79,472 USD;
Fundamentals: Spot BTC ETF has had net inflows for 6 consecutive days, institutional support still in effect; whale addresses holding 1,000-10,000 coins increased holdings by nearly 27% over 30 days, concentration of chips continues to rise, exchange balances at a near 3-year low.
【Today’s trading ideas】
✅ Holders: Continue holding long positions in the 73,500-75,000 range, target 78,500-79,400, break previous high to look at 80,000; current price at 77,900, reduce position by 30% to lock in profits, move stop-loss on remaining positions up to 76,800, aim for break-even and play the breakout.
✅ Non-entries: After retesting and stabilizing at 77,200-77,600, buy in batches, set stop-loss below 76,800 (exit if effectively breaking below Bollinger Band middle band); if volume breaks through the previous high at 79,500, can chase with light positions, stop-loss at 78,500, target 80,000-80,500, strictly avoid heavy chasing at high prices.
✅ Extreme contingency plan: In case of sudden sharp decline due to bad news, if stabilizing at 75,000-75,500, add small positions, stop-loss at 74,500; if falling to 73,400 MA20 core support, can increase position size, stop-loss at 72,800.
【Risk warning】
Geopolitical black swan: beware of the Strait of Hormuz blockade causing oil prices to surge and market panic selling;
Technical risk: effective break below 76,800 Bollinger Band middle band, short-term bullish structure weakens, need to reduce positions timely to avoid risk;
Trading discipline: single position ≤15%, strictly set stop-loss, do not blindly chase highs, take profits gradually.
🚀 Summary: oscillating at high levels, the mid- to long-term bullish trend remains intact, focus on retesting key supports for long entries, strictly control positions and risk, betting on breakout of previous highs.
For precise real-time entry and exit points, effective risk control, and steady gains from waves, follow me directly—don’t miss out, don’t get trapped! $BTC ‌#比特币反弹