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$430 million—15 minutes before the ceasefire agreement was announced.
This isn’t “suspected.” This is “clear-cut trading.”
Let me walk you through this month’s list—
March 23: a $500 million short position, 15 minutes before Trump announced the delay of strikes on Iran.
April 7: a $950 million short position, a few hours before the ceasefire agreement was made public.
April 17: a $760 million short position, 20 minutes before Iran opened the Strait of Hormuz.
April 22: a $430 million short position, 15 minutes before the ceasefire was extended.
Total for April: about $2.1 billion.
Every time it’s “15 to 20 minutes early,” every time it’s “precise bets on oil prices falling,” every time it’s “amounts so large they can’t possibly be retail traders.”
So you’re telling me this is coincidence?
This no longer requires “suspected.” This is insider trading—systemic, ongoing, and jaw-droppingly large-scale.
In the U.S., there are already people in Congress who have specifically called for investigations. The CFTC and SEC are theoretically looking too.
But can they even investigate?
This isn’t just about “knowing Trump is going to tweet.” It means someone has access to near-real-time intelligence and can build positions 15 minutes before the information is released.
This kind of information leak isn’t the ordinary level of “knowing policy in advance.” This is infiltration at the intelligence-system level.
$2.1 billion, 4 times, in one month.
Either someone is deliberately testing the market’s limits—“I’m just going to bet and see what you can do to me.”
Or the people behind it think they won’t get caught.
The problem is—if those $2.1 billion were handled through legal channels (such as swaps or OTC), the difficulty of tracing them would be extremely high. By the time the investigation is completed, the money would already have been laundered.
Market fairness? It doesn’t exist.
Rules only exist for people who don’t have access to information. #美伊二轮谈判进展