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Account with 81% win rate purchased for $40k; Trump will continue to block the Strait of Hormuz before April 30.
Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that, in the prediction event on Polymarket “Trump will continue to block the Strait of Hormuz before April 30,” an account with an 81% win rate (@Pajamapants) purchased a $40k bet that Trump will not stop blocking the Strait of Hormuz before April 30, with an opening average price of 68.5¢.
The specific rule is: If President Trump, the U.S. government, or the military officially and publicly announces the end of the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on the designated date (Eastern Time 11:59 PM), the market will resolve as “Yes.” Otherwise, the market will ultimately resolve as “No.” The declaration must explicitly and clearly state that the U.S. has lifted, ended, or will lift or end the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on the specified date, or use an equally explicit language indicating that the blockade has been stopped or will be stopped on the specified date (for example, a statement explicitly indicating that the U.S. Navy’s activities in the relevant area have ceased qualifies). Statements describing actions inconsistent with lifting the blockade (e.g., “Iran resumes shipping through the Strait of Hormuz”) without explicitly indicating the blockade has been lifted are insufficient. Informal announcements, anonymous sources, or leaks do not meet the criteria. Written public statements from Donald Trump (such as posts on his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media will also meet the “support” condition. The primary source for resolution will be official statements from the U.S. government and/or its official representatives; however, credible consensus reports may also be used. Note: The market will only determine based on whether qualified announcements are made within the specified time. Whether the blockade