Reviewing the intraday market, yesterday Bitcoin experienced a sharp increase in bearish volume, then in the early morning, it basically retested the bottom support structure and rebounded again, with increased volume pushing higher. Overall, the bulls showed strong momentum, with the volume-driven rally continuing into the evening. The highest price reached 79,444, which aligns with our key resistance outlook for the day, both of us agreeing on the pressure at 79,500. Ethereum and Bitcoin moved roughly in sync, pushing higher, with the highest reaching around 2,420 before pulling back; currently, the price remains around 2,390 with sideways fluctuations. In our intraday strategy, we accurately predicted the rebound high for Bitcoin and Ethereum. We also repeatedly advised everyone that although our long-term outlook is bearish, the short-term bullish continuation is unavoidable. The expected rebound occurred, and after key resistance was met, it faced pressure as forecasted. Friends who entered short positions at high levels can continue to hold. Regarding real trading today, the market surged early this morning with volume; we entered slightly aggressively but with smaller positions. As the evening rally continued, we added to our positions, raising the average price. Looking at the gains today, Bitcoin has pocketed a total of 2,950 points, and Ethereum 70 points.

From the current chart, the daily candlestick shows a strong upward move reaching near the upper band, which is now encountering resistance. Overall, today’s structure is an upward exploration, with a gain of up to 4,000 points. However, on the daily level, after the surge, the price has entered overbought territory. The overall market still has room for correction after the high, as the rally has pushed to the top of the upward channel. Whether bullish or bearish, there is still some space for a short-term pullback. We should continue to monitor the short-term top-bottom transitions to see if they can form a key support level, and then observe the subsequent bullish strength. The four-hour chart, as expected, shows that after overbought conditions, the bulls continued to push higher, consistent with our outlook. After further volume-driven exploration, the price has now turned downward seeking correction. Indicators are currently turning downward, and this recent surge was mainly driven by slight market optimism. Given the current market structure, it’s still difficult to make further judgments—after all, Trump’s stance changes daily. Today’s bearish move could be followed by a bullish rally tomorrow, so in terms of operations, we should follow the pattern, stay alert to market issues, and adjust accordingly.

Bitcoin can be shorted at 79,000-79,500, with targets at 77,500-76,000. Ethereum can be shorted at 2,390-2,420, with a target around 2,330. #比特币反弹 $BTC $ETH