The ceasefire only extends for 3-5 days! Trump pressures negotiation window, internal Iran losing control becomes the biggest variable

BlockBeats News, April 22, According to multiple sources, U.S. President Trump has agreed to extend the ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran by only 3 to 5 days, rather than the long-term arrangement previously expected by the market, aiming to create a final window for new negotiations. Pakistan stated that the second round of talks could be restarted within 36 to 72 hours, but Iran’s official response through Tasnim News Agency was that “a decision has not yet been made” on whether to participate in Friday’s talks.

The core obstacle to current negotiations is the internal power struggle within Iran: hardliners represented by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) are openly opposed to the civilian government on key issues, even vetoing existing negotiation results. Meanwhile, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has not made any public statements for a long time, leaving the negotiations without a final decision-maker.

U.S. assessments believe that although a diplomatic agreement is still possible, if Iran cannot unify its stance within the deadline, military options will be reconsidered. Currently, the U.S. is using the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz as a key bargaining chip, exerting continuous pressure on Iran to return to the negotiating table.

Analysts point out that this “short-term ceasefire + high-pressure negotiation” strategy reflects the White House’s desire to quickly disengage from Middle East conflicts, but internal disorder within Iran may become the biggest uncertainty in breaking the negotiations.