We have already been in a bear market for approximately 212 days.



From a historical cycle perspective, once it exceeds 200 days from the peak, it often enters a more oppressive downward phase, especially in the second and third quarters, where prices are more likely to face pressure and hit new cyclical lows.

What does this mean?
If this time follows the same rhythm as in the past, then the market may still need about three more months before it has a real chance to bottom out.

Of course, you can choose to "bet against" history, but I won't.

My win rate has never been based on emotions or expectations, but on repeated validation of data and cycles.
Before a true trend change occurs, I will only trade according to those repeatedly proven effective patterns.
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