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I saw something interesting on Polymarket recently. Someone put in $50,000 betting that AI apps will lose the top spot in the U.S. app store before a certain date. The entry was at 50 cents per contract, implying a 45% chance that it will happen.
The curious thing is that these AI apps have been dominating the top spot for months. ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, Google Gemini... they take turns being number one constantly. It just happened that Claude beat ChatGPT after some issues with OpenAI, so the market is quite divided on whether any of these AI apps will fall from that first position.
It's an interesting market because really no one knows what will happen. These AI apps are still the most downloaded, but the position changes so quickly that anything can happen. People are seriously speculating about this.