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Just came across an interesting observation about Bitcoin's potential cycle timing. There's this technical pattern that's been forming - Bitcoin seems to be respecting a major trendline that connects the 2018 and 2022 cycle lows, and it's actually holding as support right now. Pretty significant if you think about what that means for the next crypto bull run.
What caught my attention is the timing piece. The Stochastic RSI has only been below zero for about 120 days in this cycle, whereas in previous cycles it stayed down there for around 365 days. That's a pretty stark difference. We might be looking at a double bottom formation sometime later this year, which could set things up for a major shift in momentum.
Bitcoin's currently testing that $69K level which used to be resistance - now it's flipped to support. We're at $78K now, so there's some breathing room. But the real story here is the cycle dynamics. If the pattern holds, we could be looking at October 2026 as a potential inflection point where the next crypto bull run actually kicks off.
I think a lot of people underestimate how much time matters in these cycles. You can have all the technical setups right, but if the timing isn't there yet, it doesn't mean much. This analysis suggests we're getting closer to that sweet spot though. Worth keeping an eye on how Bitcoin behaves around these key support levels over the next few months.