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Just spotted something interesting in the BTC charts that's worth paying attention to. CrypFlow, one of the more respected crypto analysts I follow, recently broke down three key technical markers that could signal whether we're actually heading into a legit bull run or just getting another false rally.
Here's the thing most people get wrong about bull runs - they think it starts when price hits bottom. Nope. That's just where the selling stops, not where the buying actually begins. Right now Bitcoin is sitting around $78.22K, up 2.25% in the last 24 hours, which looks decent on the surface. But that doesn't automatically mean we're in bull territory yet.
According to the analysis, there are three specific conditions that need to align for a real crypto bull run to kick off. First, BTC needs to break above its descending trendline - basically showing it can hold against the downward pressure. Second, it has to reclaim the -14 wave trend level, which is acting as a critical resistance zone. Third, and this is important, Bitcoin needs to push above the 50-week SMA to confirm the shift in longer-term momentum.
The reason this matters is because until all three of these technical boxes get checked, we're technically still in correction mode. Yeah, we might see some short-term pumps here and there, but that's not the same as a sustained bull run. It's the difference between a bounce and an actual trend reversal.
If you're trading or holding crypto right now, these markers are worth keeping an eye on. They're not guarantees obviously, but they're solid technical guideposts for understanding where the market actually stands versus where we might want it to be.