Big Pie

Try again at 78,300—double top pattern. Can it break through? Or will it pull back for a retrace?

First, let’s review our trades from the past two days:

Yesterday, I broke through at 76,800, then fell back to 75,500 and reversed to sell/buy. One break and one retrace—cleanly handled, directly taking down 3,000 points.

Today’s early session, I traded around 77,500. Unfortunately, I got stopped out as well—this is also the first losing trade of the week. A small mistake doesn’t affect the overall tempo.

Now, let’s talk about my view:

This week, the buy side is relatively stronger. This rebound topped out at 78,500, slightly higher than the previous top.

Right now, it’s consolidating around 78,000. Some people might say: double top pattern—why not break through? A small pullback is fine, but the space won’t be very large.

Also, there’s a gap between 79,000 and 81,000 that hasn’t been filled yet. It’s only one step away from the current price, and the probability of filling that gap in the short term is very high.

So, it’s better not to rush—wait a bit and observe the two levels before taking action:

For the upper resistance, look at 79,500—it’s also the upper edge of the daily upward channel.

For the lower support, look at 76,800, which is the key high point of yesterday’s rebound. #比特币反弹