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Real-time Price: approximately $77,548, with a 24-hour increase of **+2.41%**, intraday high of $77,733, and low of $74,822
- Market Sentiment: Greed (70), short-term momentum is relatively strong
Core Viewpoint
Today, Bitcoin fluctuated and strengthened, initially surging above 76k in the morning, then pulling back to support at 75k, and now again pushing towards the 77k level. The core logic and signals are as follows:
🔍 Key Drivers
- Liquidity and macro: Weakening dollar, risk appetite rebounding, driving the price upward
- Capital flow: Continuous net inflow into spot ETFs, institutional allocation providing support
- Technical: Stabilizing above the 75k key zone, short-term RSI at 58.2, not yet in severe overbought territory, leaving room for further gains
⚠️ Risk Warnings
- Approaching April 24-25 options expiration, which may trigger sharp volatility and profit-taking
- After short-term surge, overbought correction needs increase, possibly leading to oscillations between 76k and 78k
🎯 Range and Outlook (Bias toward oscillating upward)
- Key support: 75k (short-term bullish/bearish boundary), 73.6k (deep correction zone)
- Key resistance: 78k (next target), 80k psychological level
- Viewpoint: Medium-term bullish, short-term oscillation. It is recommended to stagger positions within the 75k-76k range, reduce holdings above 78k, and set strict stop-losses.
💡 Trading Suggestions
- Short-term: Buy low and sell high within the 76k-78k range, watch for direction if broken
- Medium-term: Rely on 75k support for dip buying, monitor ETF funds and USD