Recently looking at on-chain transfers, many people start to speculate whenever they see a "coincidence." Actually, I prefer to break it down into a few explainable scenarios: Are the same set of addresses being activated within the same time window? Is the funds moving around a fixed intermediary point? Or do they all ultimately flow into the same type of contract (for example, a sudden increase in interaction frequency). Especially now, with testnet incentives and point system expectations causing a buzz, everyone is speculating whether the mainnet will issue tokens. The feeling of a "sudden collective action" on the chain is even stronger. To put it plainly, many of these aren't mysterious funds but the footsteps of the same task script.


If I could only keep one habit: I would always first map out the fund flow, then discuss emotions.
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