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Patience in waiting for a correction in the mid-term US stock elections, which will drive $BTC 's third wave of downward trend.
Figure 1 shows the real data of US-listed company executives buying their own company's stock, and it’s immediately clear:
Historically, the true buying peaks only appeared after the 2009 subprime mortgage crisis and the 2020 pandemic crash, those two times were the genuine golden opportunities in the market.
In recent years, relatively concentrated buying also only occurred in Q4 2022 and Q1 2023, which was again a clear window for low-position positioning.
After 2024, this group of people with the most insider information and the best understanding of company value, their buying strength continues to weaken, almost collectively silent.
Including Buffett holding cash at a record high, all signs indicate that major institutions are waiting for a big correction in the US stock market.
Although the US stock market is still breaking historical highs now, it’s natural for it to fall after rising too much—that’s the fundamental logic of financial markets.
Patience in waiting for a US stock correction will also trigger a global financial market correction, including the cryptocurrency market.
The real golden window for the next bull market layout is in the second half of this year.
$BTC