Just noticed the euro to yen cross is holding strong above 185.20 as we move through Thursday's session. The yen's been getting hammered lately and it's not hard to see why - there's growing talk that Japan might lean into more fiscal stimulus, which is basically the opposite of what the Bank of Japan wants to signal. Meanwhile, the geopolitical situation in the Middle East isn't helping sentiment either. That uncertainty is keeping traders cautious about yen strength. What's interesting though is the market's pricing in roughly a 70% chance of a BoJ rate hike come April, which should theoretically support the yen and push this cross lower. On the flip side, the ECB has been sounding pretty hawkish too, with officials hinting at more tightening if inflation stays sticky. So we've got conflicting signals - tighter monetary policy potentially coming from both sides, but the euro to yen trade is still favoring the single currency. Could be a good setup to watch if we get fresh data on German industrial production later today.

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