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Just caught the latest silver supply numbers and they're pretty wild. Apparently we're looking at a 46.3 million ounce shortage this year, which is basically the market screaming for more metal. The World Silver Survey dropped some interesting data - demand hit 1.13 billion ounces last year but supply couldn't keep up for the fifth straight year.
What's catching my eye is how investment demand is actually propping things up. Coin and bar buying jumped 14% last year, especially in India and Europe, which basically offset weakness in other areas. Industrial use took a hit though - down 3% to 657 million ounces. Solar manufacturers are getting smarter about using less silver per unit because the raw material costs are brutal, and that's dragging on the industrial side.
On the production end, mine output rose 3% to 846.6 million ounces, mostly from copper byproducts ramping up in Peru and Russia. Recycling also hit a 12-year high at 197.6 million ounces, which helps but clearly isn't enough to close the gap.
Here's what's interesting for price - with this structural shortage expected to widen and demand staying stubborn despite high prices, major analysts are calling for silver to push past $80 per ounce by end of 2026. Some are even betting on $100 by 2030 if this supply crunch keeps tightening. The math is pretty simple: tight supply plus investment interest equals pressure on prices.