BTC April 21 Afternoon Market Analysis and Trading Strategy Reference

 1. Intraday Strategy

Core conclusion: Consolidation with a slight bullish bias; mainly go long on pullbacks; don’t chase highs; don’t short

- Current price: 75616
- Key support: 75400-75450 (15-minute moving average + prior low support)
- Key resistance: 76200-76500 (intraday high)

Item Value/Explanation
Direction Mainly low-buy; no shorting
Entry range 75450 - 75550 (buy in batches on dips)
Stop-loss price 75200 (if it breaks the intraday key support, give up the long position)
First take-profit 76000 (cash out half the profit first)
Second take-profit 76400-76500 (if it breaks the intraday high, target this zone)
Position suggestion 15% of total funds (two batches: 8% at 75500, 7% at 75350)
Trailing stop After the price reaches 76000, move the stop-loss up to 75500 to lock in risk-free profit

 

2. Weekly Strategy (Next 3-7 Days Swing)

Core conclusion: Pullback and go long on low entries; target daily resistance levels

- Daily level: The price rebounded from 64930 and is currently in a consolidation phase after the rally; the bullish structure has not been broken
- 4-hour level: The price has risen back above the key moving average; support is at 74800-75000

Item Value/Explanation
Direction Swing long
Entry range 74500 - 75000 (retracement into the daily support zone)
Stop-loss price 73800 (if it breaks the key weekly low, the swing idea is invalidated)
First target 77500-78000 (daily resistance zone; first reduce position by half)
Second target 78800-79300 (near the previous high; the remaining position looks to this area)
Position suggestion 25% of total funds (three batches: 10% at 75000, 10% at 74500, 5% at 74000)
Risk control tip If the price falls below 73800, stop loss and exit immediately; don’t hold the position

 

3. Monthly Strategy (Next 1-4 Weeks, Main Direction)

Core conclusion: The bottom is stabilizing with a bullish tilt; mainly build positions via low entries (go long on dips); don’t chase shorts

- Weekly level: The price has pulled back from the high and is currently consolidating in the 60000-80000 range; strong support is at 65000-68000, and resistance is at 78000-80000
- Daily level: Moving averages have turned from a bearish arrangement and started to curve upward; this is a repair phase after the decline, so heavy shorting is not suitable within the month

Item Value/Explanation
Major direction Bullish oscillation; mainly layout with low entries (go long on dips)
Layout zone 70000 - 72000 (strong support zone within the month; build positions gradually)
Defensive stop-loss 64500 (if it falls below the key support under the previous low 64930, the trend is completely damaged)
First target 80000-82000 (weekly resistance level; swing target)
Second target 86000-88000 (if it breaks above 80000, it opens up the upward space within the month)
Position suggestion 30% of total funds (three batches: 10% at 72000, 10% at 71000, 10% additional at 70000)
Risk control tip If within the month the price still cannot break 78000, you can gradually reduce positions above 77500 to avoid prolonged consolidation

 

Additional Notes

1. The positions for intraday/weekly/monthly are separate; don’t put all your total funds into the same trade.
2. All strategies only provide your entry, stop-loss, take-profit, and position sizing—no extra subjective judgment is included.
3. If the intraday trade and the weekly trade have the same direction, you can execute them in combination; if the directions conflict, prioritize the intraday trade and pause the weekly trade.#美伊二轮谈判进展

Investing involves risk—please make your own judgment! Like, follow, comment! $BTC ‌@