Urgent Warning: US-Iran Negotiation Countdown, BTC Double Top, Increased Risks

News (US-Iran Negotiations)

US-Iran Ceasefire Agreement expires on April 22 (Wednesday), negotiations begin countdown from April 21.

Whether an agreement is reached or the ceasefire is extended, it is a positive signal = negative impact: the previous rally has been priced in advance, funds are prone to exit, and a market turning point is near.

Technical (BTC Double Top)

After a nearly 20% surge in the past two weeks, a single-day plunge of 4,000 points, indicating exhausted bullish momentum and the end of the upward trend.

The 2-day MACD crosses the zero axis, EMA56 resistance at 76k remains unbroken after multiple attempts, a clear bearish signal.

Futures are in premium and overbought, minor adjustments expected, avoid blindly bottom-fishing.

The correction target directly points to $70k, with a potential drop of over 20% if broken.

Trading Strategy (Short-term + Mid-term)

Long positions (Cautious)

Profitable: Take profits immediately and exit, avoid fighting the market.

No position: Never chase high, high-risk at elevated levels.

Short positions (Rebound setup)

Entry: Resistance zone between 76.3k–77.3k, build positions gradually.

Short-term target: 74.5k–73.5k, take profits gradually.

Stop-loss: Above 78k (strict risk control).

Mid-term

Keep a close eye on US-Iran negotiation results: add to short positions immediately if positive news is confirmed.

Key Reminder

High levels, double top pattern established, trend turning bearish, hold small positions, trade quickly, and enforce strict stop-loss.

Message + technical resonance indicates a much higher probability of decline than rebound, watch more, act less, and follow the trend to short. $BTC ‌#美伊二轮谈判进展