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Just checked the XRP price in USD today and it's sitting around $1.43, up about 1.4% in the last 24 hours. Interesting timing because back in February, prediction markets were pretty clear about where they thought XRP would land by month's end.
Polymarket had some telling data back then. About 53% of bettors were betting on XRP hitting or staying above $1.80, with nearly half confident it wouldn't drop below $1.40. Only 27% thought it'd actually break through $2, which tells you something about the cautious sentiment around the current XRP price in USD. The downside bets were minimal too—just 6% saw it crashing below $1.
Historically, February has been rough for XRP though. The data showed median returns around negative 8%, which could've pushed things down to $1.45 or lower if bears took over. But we're seeing some positive signals now—ETF flows have been solid, over $1.3 billion year to date, and Ripple's cross-border payment developments keep coming. That's probably why we're holding up better than those gloomy February predictions suggested. The current XRP price action seems to be finding some stability after that earlier volatility.