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Just watching gold price action this week and it's looking rough. Started Monday with a gap down, and XAU/USD is really struggling to hold above that $4,600 level everyone's watching. The geopolitical noise isn't helping - Trump's Iran ultimatum about the Strait of Hormuz and the retaliation threats have traders spooked, which is pushing sentiment toward the cautious side.
From a technical standpoint, gold price is showing some clear bearish pressure right now. On the 4-hour, it's already slipped below the 20-period moving average around $4,663, and it's sitting way below both the 100 and 200-period SMAs at $4,700 and $4,900. The momentum indicators have turned negative and RSI is dropping toward 50 after being overbought - basically means the buying pressure is fading and we might be in a correction.
The key support to watch is $4,600, then $4,560 if selling accelerates. On the upside, resistance starts at the 20-period SMA near $4,663, then $4,680 and the recent high around $4,785. To actually reverse this downtrend, gold price would need to convincingly break above that $4,680-$4,785 zone. Meanwhile, crude is sitting near $106 a barrel, highest in over a month, adding some complexity to the broader picture. Easter Monday closures are keeping some volume low, but things should pick up during US hours.