These days, someone in the group is again spreading rumors that "a certain stablecoin is going to depeg," along with the usual talk about regulation and reserve audits, and the emotions just explode... I become even more hesitant to casually go long on whales. Seeing large inflows and outflows on the chain doesn't necessarily mean they're building a position; often it's just hedging, repositioning, or even just moving funds to different addresses for risk control. To put it simply, if you follow in, you might just be standing on the opposite side of someone else's other leg.

I usually first check whether the same set of addresses is continuously adding positions, whether they are entering the same pools/exchanges in batches, and then see if there's any sign of opening opposite positions at the same time; if both sides are active, I consider it "defense" and don't follow.

What I fear most isn't losing money, but losing control: panicking and chasing blindly, not even knowing what I'm actually betting on. Anyway, I take screenshots first; if I can't figure it out, I don't act... If I make a mistake, I delete it.