I've been watching this gold stocks situation pretty closely since that big selloff a couple months back. When Kevin Warsh got nominated for the Fed chair role, a lot of gold investors basically panicked and bailed. Newmont and Barrick both got hit hard - we're talking double-digit drops. But here's what most people are missing.



The thing is, these companies are already sitting on insane profit margins. We're not talking about struggling miners here. Newmont's all-in sustaining costs were around $1,566 per ounce last quarter, with Q4 guidance at $1,760. Barrick was even tighter at $1,538 per ounce. When spot gold is hovering around where it was back in early February - roughly $4,622 - these gold stocks to buy are generating gross margins over 160%. That's absolutely wild compared to their historical 50% margins. This is a completely different economics story than what we used to see.

What really caught my attention is the timing of their capacity additions. Newmont started commercial production at Ahafo North in Ghana last fall, expecting 275,000 to 325,000 ounces annually over the next 13 years. Barrick's Fourmile project? They're calling it one of the century's most significant discoveries - potentially 750,000 ounces per year. You don't get opportunities like this very often.

Now, here's where it gets interesting beyond just gold. Central banks outside the US have been aggressively stockpiling gold reserves due to dollar stability concerns. That demand isn't going away anytime soon. But there's another angle that's just as important - copper. These gold stocks to buy also produce meaningful copper, and copper demand is exploding right now. Data centers need it for conductivity and corrosion resistance, and with AI infrastructure expanding everywhere, estimates suggest data centers could need 330,000 to 420,000 tonnes annually by 2030. Newmont was producing 35,000 tonnes last quarter. Barrick hit 55,000 tonnes, partly from their Lumwana operation ramping up in Zambia.

So are they backdoor AI plays? Not exactly, but they're definitely benefiting from that growth story without being pure-play AI infrastructure bets. The recent rebound in both stocks makes sense to me - that selloff looked overdone given the fundamentals. Sure, gold prices will stay volatile, but the underlying demand drivers don't seem fragile. The AI data center boom isn't collapsing either.

Valuation-wise, these gold stocks to buy aren't crazy expensive right now. Newmont's trading around 15.7x forward earnings, Barrick around 12.5x. When you get these kinds of dips, especially on sentiment-driven moves, it creates real opportunities. The market was definitely overreacting to the Fed chair news. I'm definitely keeping an eye on these gold stocks to buy as the quarter progresses - the fundamentals still look solid to me.
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