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Alron's Off-topic Remarks:
Family members, who understands? The Middle East script is more thrilling than a roller coaster! Yesterday, I thought they might shake hands and make peace, but today Iran just threw a tantrum—The Strait of Hormuz was shut down on a whim, the Revolutionary Guard opened fire on oil tankers, and the next round of negotiations is off the table!
🚨 A 180-degree turnaround overnight
• Iran's Outburst: Tehran is truly angry this time, explicitly criticizing the U.S. for "repeatedly breaking promises." Not only have they tightened control over the strait, but they also declared that "unconditional passage is a thing of the past." Now, do oil tankers want to pass? It depends on Iran’s mood; otherwise, they might face gunfire.
• Trump’s "Winning Big" Troubles: The situation was already fragile as paper, but President Trump insisted on posting boastful messages at 3 or 4 a.m., claiming "the big picture is settled" and "Iran is making concessions." Now, he’s angered Iran, which responded with a slap in the face—"Are you calling me cowardly? Watch me show you otherwise!"
🤯 Bystanders’ “Desensitization” Guide
This strait opens and closes more often than my window. The market is numb now; seasoned players understand: weekend negative news doesn’t count unless there are strong words before Monday’s opening. Everyone’s current attitude is: do whatever you want, we’re used to it.
💣 Century-long Negotiations Are All "Smoke and Mirrors"
Don’t be fooled by Trump’s 80 years of age; his energy surpasses that of young men, and he’s worn out White House staff to the point of nervous breakdown. But don’t believe the rumors about the second round of negotiations:
• Fake news everywhere: Both sides are throwing smoke screens—sometimes claiming they’ve reached an agreement, sometimes saying it’s fallen apart. Trust no one but official announcements.
• A true win requires all three parties—U.S., Iran, and the surrounding smaller players—to feel they’ve gained. We’re still far from that; everywhere is a minefield, and nothing is certain.
In short: The Middle East changes faces faster than flipping pages. Let’s get our small stools ready, prepare our blood pressure meds, and wait and see!