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Been watching the markets and yeah, the futures were looking pretty rough heading into Friday's open. Oil prices spiking up nearly 7% on Middle East tensions, and you could feel that ripple through everything else. Dow futures down 0.6%, S&P futures sliding 0.66%, Nasdaq futures dropping almost 0.9% - classic risk-off setup.
The whole situation with Iran escalating things across Cyprus, Turkey, and other spots really spooked the energy markets. Word was the Trump admin was even considering releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to try and cool things down, but honestly that just tells you how tight things are getting. India getting a 30-day waiver to buy Russian oil also signals how much the conflict is messing with global supply chains.
West Texas crude futures were up like $5.49 a barrel to $86.50 - that's a 6.78% jump in a single session. When oil moves like that, it tends to drag down equities because everyone starts worrying about stagflation again. Gold was climbing too, up about $21 an ounce. Classic safe-haven flows.
The real wildcard was supposed to be the February jobs data dropping at 8:30 AM ET. That usually moves things. But after Thursday's selloff - Dow got hit for 784 points, S&P down 0.6%, Nasdaq down 0.3% - the question was whether Friday's open would find any buyers or if we'd just keep sliding. Asia came in mixed after China talked up their tech spending plans, but Europe wasn't having it. FTSE, DAX, CAC all in the red. Definitely felt like one of those days where everything was working against the bulls.