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Don't celebrate too early?
According to Axios, the US-Iran situation is returning to the old pattern. The reason is that both sides cannot agree on uranium enrichment issues. This is also the core obstacle in all negotiations.
Where is the problem: the US demands freezing uranium enrichment projects for at least 20 years and shipping out all of Iran's stockpiles. Iran only agrees to 5 years at most, and only under international supervision for reprocessing within the country. The gap between both sides' positions is huge.
Meanwhile, the ceasefire agreement will expire on April 21. If talks don't succeed over the weekend, the fighting could reignite. This means: oil prices will rise again, and cryptocurrency prices will fall again. Everything remains the same.
Yesterday, Trump claimed Iran would no longer block the Strait of Hormuz, causing the market to spike temporarily. BTC broke through 77k, and everyone breathed a sigh of relief. Today, it turns out the nuclear deal was never actually reached; without an agreement, there will be no real peace.
The familiar script: hope → rally → disappointment → pullback.
Before this pattern is broken, operate cautiously!