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There's been a quiet shift happening in Wall Street's favorite adtech stocks, and it's worth paying attention to. For years, The Trade Desk dominated conversations whenever investors talked about advertising technology. The company went public back in 2016, and if you'd done your homework and bought in, you'd be sitting on gains of over 4,000% by now. That's the kind of performance that makes a stock legendary.
But here's what's interesting: a new player is starting to overshadow the old guard. AppLovin has quietly become the market's newest obsession in the adtech space, and the numbers tell the story. While it took The Trade Desk about eight years to climb from roughly $1 billion in market cap to $60 billion, AppLovin is racing toward $100 billion in a fraction of the time. That's not just impressive—it's a complete shift in how Wall Street views the competitive landscape.
So what exactly happened? Back in August 2022, AppLovin's leadership seemed ready to wave the white flag. They proposed merging with Unity, and not on favorable terms for AppLovin shareholders. The deal would have given Unity's shareholders the majority stake, and AppLovin's CEO Adam Foroughi would have stepped aside. Unity rejected the offer. Then, in Q3 2022, AppLovin reported a 2% revenue decline year-over-year. Coming off a 90% growth rate the prior year, it looked like the company was falling apart.
But something crucial was happening beneath the surface that most people missed. AppLovin actually runs two distinct businesses. The more visible one was its mobile gaming portfolio—useful for generating data, but not the real prize. The real game was building artificial intelligence algorithms for its software business. In that same quarter when overall revenue dropped, software revenue jumped 59% year-over-year. That's where the magic was hiding.
The company pivoted to focus on what it did best: serving mobile app developers who needed to monetize their apps. AppLovin's AI-powered software does the heavy lifting, placing ads in optimal locations to maximize returns. Then in Q2 2023, they launched Axon 2.0, and that's when things got wild. Software revenue growth accelerated to 28%, then 65%, then 76%, hitting 91% in Q1 2024. Even as growth has moderated to the mid-60s range, the trajectory is undeniable. Axon 2.0 fundamentally changed what the software could do—app developers saw such dramatic improvements in their return on investment that they kept increasing their spending.
What really separates AppLovin from other adtech stocks is the profitability angle. This isn't just about growth rates. The software business generates roughly 40% free cash flow margins. That's exceptional. Over the last year, the company has generated $1.7 billion in free cash flow. Most businesses can't touch those kinds of margins, which explains why the stock has been on such a tear.
Now here's where it gets interesting for the future. AppLovin's current customer base is primarily mobile gaming developers, but management sees a much bigger opportunity. If their AI software can crush it in gaming monetization, why limit it there? The company is piloting expansion into e-commerce apps, and early signals look promising. If they can successfully branch into new app categories while maintaining those profit margins, management thinks they can sustain over 20% annual revenue growth. In a market that's hungry for growth with profitability, that's a compelling narrative for adtech stocks moving forward.