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The impact of the Middle East situation on BTC shows short-term bearishness and long-term divergence#Gate13周年现场直击 ：
- Short term (conflict breaks out): Risk-aversion sentiment surges, and there is a risk of funds withdrawing from risk assets. BTC often sees a rapid crash of 5%-12%, and leveraged liquidations intensify the selling pressure. Rising oil prices push up inflation and interest-rate hike expectations, further suppressing the coin price. Its “digital gold” safe-haven attribute becomes ineffective in the short term.
- Medium to long term (situation eases): After panic fades, the rebound is strong. Countries such as Iran use BTC to circumvent sanctions, increasing on-chain demand. The decentralized nature strengthens the “digital safe-haven” narrative, which is a long-term positive for value consensus.