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Institution: Reopening the Strait of Hormuz is not difficult, but full recovery of oil flow may take years
Mars Finance News, on April 20th, analysts stated that the shipping in the Strait of Hormuz is intermittent, highlighting the uncertain status of this globally important oil and natural gas chokepoint. However, one thing is already clear: even if the conflict subsides, it will take months—and possibly years—for oil flows through this narrow waterway to return to pre-war levels.
Analysts believe that the speed of recovery will depend not only on diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran but also on logistics conditions, the availability of oil tanker insurance, freight rates, and whether shipowners are willing to take risks passing through.
It is expected that the full rebalancing of the global oil tanker fleet and the resumption of Gulf loading operations to pre-war pace will be uneven, and even under favorable conditions, it may take at least eight to twelve weeks. (Jin10)