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So I've been looking at TMC stock lately, and there's definitely something worth paying attention to here if you're into deep sea mining stocks and willing to take on some serious risk.
Basically, The Metals Company is trying to do something nobody's done before at scale - they want to vacuum up these potato-sized nodules from the ocean floor and process them into nickel, copper, cobalt, and manganese for batteries. Sounds wild, right? And in theory, it makes sense. Ocean mining could be cleaner and cheaper than traditional land-based mining. But here's the thing - we literally don't know what deep sea mining actually looks like commercially because no one's been allowed to do it yet.
TMC is currently trading under $10, and they're projecting late 2027 as a potential start date for actual operations. That's what's making people perk up. But before you get excited, there are some pretty massive hurdles.
First, they need money to survive until they actually start generating revenue. They had about $165 million in liquidity at the end of last quarter, which sounds decent until you realize they're burning cash constantly. That runway isn't infinite. Second - and this is huge - they need regulatory approval. The International Seabed Authority is supposed to finalize the rulebook for deep sea mining, but they haven't figured it out yet. TMC is also looking at a U.S. permitting path, but honestly, it's unclear if that's even legally viable long-term.
Maybe the biggest red flag though? Their technology has never actually been tested at scale. We're talking about potential engineering problems and technical uncertainties that could derail everything even if they somehow get approved.
Looking at all this, I get why the stock is cheap. For aggressive investors with a seriously long time horizon, TMC could be worth a small position if you believe deep sea mining stocks are going to be a thing. But if you're more conservative, you'd probably sleep better at night with a metals ETF instead. There's just too much unknown here to be casual about it.