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So I've been looking at this nickel stocks opportunity that a lot of people might have slept on after the whole Talon Metals-Tesla deal dropped. That six-year nickel supply agreement basically opened people's eyes to something that was always obvious to anyone paying attention: EVs need a ton of nickel, and the supply chain for this stuff is nowhere near as developed as lithium gets all the media attention.
Here's the thing though - Talon isn't the only player in this space. If you missed that particular move, there are actually some solid nickel stocks worth looking at that could benefit from the same tailwinds.
Norilsk Nickel has been the world's largest nickel producer for years, churning out massive volumes. Back in 2020-2021 their nickel revenues jumped something like 34% year-over-year. The scale here is just insane. Only real downside is they've got export duties and geopolitical complications that make them less ideal than domestic producers.
Then you've got Vale, which is basically a mining giant that happens to produce nickel alongside iron ore and a bunch of other stuff. They're diversified to the point where they can't move as fast on nickel prices as pure-play companies, but they've got the resources to actually execute. Had some labor issues recently but those got resolved.
IGO Ltd. is interesting because they're Australian, they've got solid nickel reserves, and they're still relatively new to the public markets - only went public in 2021. The production numbers suggest they could easily supply another EV manufacturer if someone came calling.
Canada Nickel is betting that nickel demand is actually being underestimated by the market. Their Crawford project is supposed to hit 42,000 tons annually at peak. They're banking on exactly this Tesla-style demand scenario playing out multiple times over.
Glencore is another diversified giant that produced over 100,000 tons of nickel in 2020. They've got operations spread across multiple continents and they're positioning themselves around ESG goals, which matters for institutional money.
The smaller plays are where it gets speculative. North American Nickel is basically a micro-cap exploration play with assets in Greenland and Ontario. Could be a takeover target if they hit something, but it's definitely higher risk. PolyMet Mining is interesting because Glencore actually owns a majority stake, so there's institutional backing there, plus they've got 170 million pounds of nickel sitting in Minnesota.
The real story here is that nickel stocks are positioned to benefit from multiple years of EV growth and battery production scaling. Whether it's the majors or the smaller explorers, this sector has structural tailwinds that go way beyond one Tesla deal.