$BTC Entry zone: 75200-75500. This position is the overlap area of the upper boundary of the liquidity support band and the BOS resistance from the earlier phase. It is also the place where sell pressure from trapped positions is most concentrated. When the price reaches here, it will most likely face resistance and pull back—this is the highest win-rate entry point right now.

Stop-loss: 76100. This level is just above the second-highest rebound in the recent 4 hours. As long as the price does not break through this point, the weak downside structure will not be damaged. The stop-loss space is only 600-900 points—nearly half of what it was before—so it avoids unnecessary capital lock-up while filtering out most false breakouts.
Take-profit: For the first target, directly look at 73000, which is the lower boundary of the current weak support zone. When the price gets here, it will find support; take 70% of the position off at this level to lock in profits. If the price subsequently breaks down and effectively falls below 73000, the downside momentum will release further—then look at the extended target of 71500 and close the remaining position to hold onto trend profits.
This plan is, under the current structure, the best choice in terms of balancing win rate and risk-reward ratio: it fully follows the 4-hour weak downtrend, without going against the trend, while keeping the stop-loss within a reasonable range. It avoids unnecessary risks and preserves sufficient profit potential. If the price does not rebound back into the entry zone and instead breaks below 73800 directly, give up this opportunity—don’t chase shorts. The risk-reward ratio of chasing shorts is too poor, so it’s not worth doing.
#美伊局势和谈与增兵博弈
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