Just now, I got that familiar itch again and wanted to chase a green-and-red, wildly jumping candlestick. I stopped for two seconds and asked myself: Did I actually see new information, or am I just letting emotions push me to add back to my position? To put it plainly, it’s usually the latter—especially lately, when everyone’s been talking up testnet incentives and expectations for points. In the group chat, there are a bunch of people debating whether the mainnet will issue tokens, and I can feel myself getting dragged along with the momentum. The more I watch, the more I think, “If I don’t get in now, I’ll be the one who ends up losing out.” But once I calm down and think it through, I wonder—do I really have any independent clues in my hands, or am I just getting ignited by all the hype?

My roommate is right there beside me, still mocking me: “This isn’t research—you’re just getting carried away.” Fine. I’ll hold off on hitting the add-position button for now and go check those low-follow addresses and the abnormal trades. At least if I end up losing, I’ll lose in a way that’s more understandable.