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Iran has not confirmed the resumption of talks with the U.S., but market forecasts still indicate that the meeting is imminent.
Mars Finance News, on April 19, Iran Tasnim Agency reported today that there is no official confirmation from Iran regarding the news that “Iranian delegation will go to Islamabad, Pakistan, next Tuesday (April 21).”
According to PolyBeats monitoring, although Iran has stated that the news is unconfirmed, on the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of “U.S.-Iran next round of diplomatic talks” occurring before multiple dates continues to rise. Currently, the probability of the meeting happening before the 20th (Monday) is 85%, before the 21st (Tuesday) is 91%, and before the 22nd (Wednesday) is 94%.