Last weekend, news of the US-Iran negotiations was bound to flood various financial news outlets. Many people would closely watch keywords like "reaching a consensus" and "still differences remain," hoping to jump in early at Monday's opening. But trading experience has long proven that making decisions based solely on headline news often comes at a high cost.

In institutional trading logic, this negotiation is far from a simple black-and-white game. Market attention is focused on both the US and Iran, but the key forces that truly influence the direction of the situation may not even be on the negotiation table. If you fail to see the movements and bottom lines of Israel, a core variable, the seemingly positive peace signals may just be market illusions designed to lure traders into chasing higher.

Currently, the trading logic for gold and crude oil has quietly changed. The traditional thinking of "risk-averse rising, easing falling" is turning into a trap for retail investors' losses.

First, deeply analyze the core drivers behind the negotiations—why Israel doesn't need to intervene directly, and how merely creating public opinion can influence oil pricing;
Second, clarify the true operational logic of gold, crude oil, and exchange rates, combining multiple institutional forecasts to identify key turning points overlooked by the market;
Third, develop a practical trading plan for Monday's opening, focusing on three major signals that professional traders watch. Until these signals are clear, patience remains the best strategy. #Gate13周年现场直击