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Two data points that make even multi-head sweat profusely:
Buffett Indicator (Market Cap / GDP): The "truth-seeing mirror" that the old man values most has already reached 2.4 standard deviations into the absurd zone. This is extremely rare in global financial history—an "extreme overvaluation."
The current market cap no longer reflects the economy but is reflecting some kind of crazy illusion~
Shiller Price-to-Earnings Ratio (CAPE Ratio): This indicator, which strips out cyclical fluctuations, is also giving a frantic warning. When the P/E ratio deviates significantly from the mean, it means that every penny you’re now investing could be paying for mediocre returns over the next ten years. History does not lie; such valuation regressions are never gentle—they usually come with a storm~
Practical perspective: The market now is like a gambler who won’t shed tears until the coffin is visible, always thinking "this time is different"~
Are you planning to keep dancing in the bubble, or are you already ready with a life buoy to retreat?~
#美股 #Buffett Indicator #席勒市盈率 #Macro Analysis #BTC #Bubble Warning #Trading Logic~