#周末交易计划 Considering the current (April 18, 2026) geopolitical situation, the market is in a phase of increased risk appetite driven by the easing of the crisis, which directly impacts weekend trading plans:

The core impact of geopolitical situation on the market

Risk premium fades: Iran announced that during the ceasefire period it would fully open the Strait of Hormuz, and US-Iran negotiations have shown signs of a phased breakthrough. This directly clears away the shadow of war, causing oil prices to fall back, and funds to flow from safe-haven assets back into the stock and cryptocurrency markets. This is the main driver behind BTC surging to 78k this week.

“Digital gold” narrative weakens: As the geopolitical conflict cools down, Bitcoin’s narrative as a “safe-haven asset” temporarily takes a back seat, and for now it is more closely moving in line with risk assets such as US stocks. If negative news breaks out over the weekend—such as negotiations suddenly collapsing—be alert to a swift reversal of safe-haven sentiment that could trigger a sharp drop.

Macro linkages strengthen: During the ceasefire window, the crypto market has an extremely high correlation with the Nasdaq and the S&P 500. Although US stocks are closed over the weekend, you need to closely monitor real-time Middle East news. Any rumors that navigation through the straits is obstructed could lead to severe volatility in coin prices.

Weekend trading adjustment recommendations

Follow the trend, don’t chase highs: Take advantage of the positive news from geopolitical easing and mainly look for entries on pullbacks (Buy the Dip). Focus on the opportunity when BTC retraces to the 76k-76.65k support zone, and do not blindly chase the upside at the 78k high.

Keep a close watch on breaking news: With institutions absent over the weekend and liquidity thin, a sudden headline like “negotiations break down” or “local conflict flares up again” could cause a momentary spike. It is recommended to set strict stop-losses to avoid going in with oversized positions and staying unprotected.

Watch US stock futures: Although US stocks are closed, their futures contracts (Futures) are still traded over the weekend. If futures gap down due to geopolitical news, be alert to the risk of additional downside (a rebound-and-drop effect) when the crypto market opens.