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Night Before the Storm Next Week: US-Iran Negotiations Decide Life or Death, Fed’s New Chair Hearing Shakes the Market!
Brothers, don’t let your guard down over the weekend! Three major variables next week on Wednesday will ignite market moves—watch these key points 👇
1. US-Iran Negotiations Decide Life or Death: Trump said that if there is no agreement before Wednesday, the ceasefire could be terminated. The market is currently betting on a “de-escalation path,” but Iran’s stance remains changeable, and the Strait of Hormuz is still a powder keg. Crude oil and gold could turn at any moment—if negotiations break down, gold will surge directly to $5,000; if an agreement is reached, be careful of a second dip in oil prices. Order placement suggestion: for gold, pull back to around 4850 for a light long position, stop-loss at 4820.#美伊谈判
2. Fed Uncertainty: On Tuesday, there will be a hearing for Kevin Wirth. If this person is dovish, rate-cut expectations will heat up, the dollar will face pressure, and risk assets will benefit; otherwise, watch for a rebound in US Treasury yields. Control your positions before Wednesday—don’t bet on a one-way move.#沃什提名听证会推迟
3. Data Week: Tuesday retail sales, Thursday initial jobless claims + PMI, and Friday Michigan inflation expectations. Pay particular attention to whether consumer-side activity cools down, as this will affect the September rate-cut probability. For the breakout orders, place them in the first half-hour of the data release—move fast in, move fast out.
Summary: Current market sentiment is fragile, and on the news front > technicals. Keep position size light, set stop-losses, and don’t hold stubborn trades! If oil gaps up in the Asian session on Monday, follow the trend and ride the wave—don’t hesitate.
Keep sharing every day—not to prove how high the win rate is, but to tell you that I’ve always been here, watching the market around the clock—professional and reliable. Personal analysis and strategies are for reference only; risks must be managed by yourself. Trading involves risk; investing is with caution!$XAU $RAVE $ETH