#GatePreIPOs首发SpaceX If it were me, I wouldn't participate in Gate.io's SpaceX Pre-IPO (subscription price $590).



The reason isn't because it's "bad," but based on three calm judgments:

1. Valuation is already high, safety margin is low
$590 implies a valuation of about $1.4 trillion. SpaceX is strong, but compared to its internal valuation a year ago (about $350 billion), it has tripled. The current price already reflects a lot of optimistic expectations; if the IPO is delayed or the valuation corrects, there is little support in the short term.
2. The essence of the product is "betting on a successful IPO"
I'm buying a synthetic certificate, not SpaceX stock. If SpaceX doesn't go public within two years, or if the IPO price is below $590, this investment will lose money. This isn't about holding a high-quality company long-term, but betting on a specific event happening within a certain timeframe.
3. Liquidity risk is underestimated
Pre-market trading looks like you can sell at any time, but once market sentiment reverses (for example, Musk delays the IPO), buying demand could vanish instantly. As a retail investor, I am at a disadvantage in terms of information, funds, and exit speed.

But I can understand why someone would participate if they meet the following criteria:

· Small amount of funds, willing to lose $1,000 without feeling bad, and willing to pay for "experience and conversation."
· Have short-term trading ability, planning to sell during the peak pre-market trading (like a few hours after opening), rather than waiting for the IPO.
· Purely treat SPCX as a speculative leverage asset, using a small position to bet on short-term volatility.

The insight I get is: if you truly believe in SpaceX, a better way is to wait until it actually IPOs to buy the stock, or use extremely low-cost options (like focusing on subsequent primary market fund shares). Using $590 now to access the pre-IPO market is like paying an expensive ticket to buy a high-risk "possibility."

Of course, if this money is just part of your pocket money and you want to experience the feeling of "participating in a top unicorn" — then participating is fine, just don't treat it as an investment, treat it as a consumption. (AI analysis shared for reference only)
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LuYong
· 6h ago
Risks and rewards go hand in hand, but the returns are definitely limited, so don't invest large amounts of money!
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