Today I saw on the blockchain another case of "coincidental transfers," where A sends some funds to B, and after a while, C just happens to send the same amount back to A. I used to reflexively think it was money laundering or insider trading, but then I forced myself to slow down and analyze the path: is it first transferred from an exchange to a relay, then into a contract/aggregator, and finally someone refunds the change; or is it just a few bulk transfers that I only caught two segments of? Basically, many "coincidences" on the chain are just stories where you've only seen the beginning and the end.

By the way, recently the staking/sharing security approach has been criticized as a "copycat," and I think it's the same emotional reaction: only focusing on the compounded returns, without looking at how many layers of complexity or risks are involved in the middle. Anyway, now when I see strange flows, I follow the entire chain before jumping to conclusions—being impatient won't reveal the truth any faster.