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The Strait of Hormuz has closed, tensions have peaked, oil prices are soaring, and the whole world is watching.
Then, someone made a move, shorting oil with $500 million, quietly and swiftly.
Fifteen minutes later—Trump delayed the strike on Iran, and oil prices plummeted. They left with huge wealth, most people thought it was just a coincidence.
Actually, it’s not. Three weeks later, the same hand acted again, quietly establishing a $950 million short position—just before the sudden arrival of the US-Iran ceasefire agreement, oil prices collapsed once more, and this pattern can no longer be ignored.
Then last night, $760 million. Precise bets made just minutes before the official reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Oil prices dropped again, exactly on point.
Three incidents, three perfect timing gambles, three wins. No analyst could predict this three times in a row, no algorithm could be so “lucky” with geopolitical news that hasn’t been announced yet. Some people aren’t even trading in the market.
They are trading the news—before it becomes news. The CFTC says it’s investigating,
but the trades are already completed, profits already booked, funds long transferred, and the market is well aware—some investigations are just a formality.