Today I saw someone screenshot a few "coincidental transfers" as evidence of a conspiracy again... I'm so tired of rolling my eyes. On the blockchain, this stuff isn't that mysterious: first, break down the path—does it come from an exchange's hot wallet, is there a transfer to a common consolidation address, then connect to a bridge/DEX/lending contract or similar "toolchain." Many so-called "same group of people" are actually just running the same automation process, especially before and after upgrades/hard forks, when everyone is rushing to adjust their positions, and the paths look more like template copy-pasting. To put it plainly, if it makes sense initially, don't force it into a storyline. Next time, I plan to make a small checklist of these common paths for comparison—how do you usually distinguish between "the same person" and "the same tool"?

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