Today (2026-04-18) Bitcoin outlook 📈

Real-time price (13:55): $77,062.5 (≈¥531,269), 24h +3.04%

1. Today’s trend: Strong rebound, breaking a two-month high

- Intraday it once broke through $78,000, the first time since Feb 2.
- Moving in sync with U.S. stocks (Nasdaq 13 straight up days), a macro risk appetite recovery.
- Over $700 million liquidations across the network in 24h, with a short-squeeze boosting the rally.

2. Core driving factors

1. Macro positives—Middle East situation easing, rate-cut expectations heating up, and U.S. Treasury yields falling.
- Funds returning to risk assets, and the Bitcoin ETF continues to see net inflows.
2. Technicals—Breaking through the key resistance at $75,000, opening up room to the upside.
- Short-term support: $74,500 ~ $75,000.
- Resistance: $78,000 ~ $80,000.

3. Risks and concerns

- High-level consolidation: The options market shows positive Gamma; market makers suppress volatility, making it prone to spike-and-retrace.
- Technicals overbought: RSI/KDJ at high levels, with a need for a short-term pullback.
- Cycle debate: Some analysts believe that October 2025 ($126k) was already the peak of the bull market.

4. Brief view (not investment advice)

- Short term (1-3 days): Slightly strong consolidation; watch $78k resistance. If it holds above $80k, look for upside; on pullbacks, defend $74.5k.
- Medium term (1-2 weeks): The trend is unclear; breakout needs sustained volume and confirmation of ETF buying demand.
- Strategy: Keep a light position, use a stop-loss, and tightly control position size under high volatility.