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just caught wind that amazon stock tanked over 4% today and honestly the combo of what happened is pretty wild. so the eu just slapped a 'critical tech partner' label on amazon along with microsoft and google cloud, which basically means way more regulatory oversight. and if that wasn't enough, some analyst at rothschild redburn downgraded amazon from buy to neutral, set the price target at $250. dude's main concern is all the capital going into ai development - apparently the margins are getting squeezed because gen-ai needs longer depreciation cycles compared to the old cloud days.
the regulatory thing doesn't really bother me that much though. amazon's been dealing with scrutiny forever and they've got the resources to handle it. plus their aws business is still printing money. and yeah, ai is expensive, but like... they can afford it. the analyst's point about capital intensity isn't wrong, but it's not exactly a deal breaker for a company this strong.
i think the market's just being reactive today. eric volkman's piece breaks it down pretty clearly - neither of these issues should tank the stock long term. if anything, dips like this are usually when you think about adding. not financial advice obviously, but that's the vibe i'm getting. what's your take?