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The US and Iran have begun negotiations to end the war plan, including unfreezing $20 billion of Iran's frozen funds and abandoning its uranium enrichment stockpile. This is basically in line with my predictions, and there may also be some sanctions on daily necessities lifted, allowing Iran to peacefully develop nuclear energy.
If my forecast is correct, then the United States is just pulling down its pants and farting; it’s been like this before. Now they are also unfreezing Iran’s funds and reducing sanctions. Of course, Trump is the big winner, the K-line is in place, the war is ending, buy oil, don’t block the straits, and go long on oil; if the war ends, short oil.
I guess US stocks and cryptocurrencies are also making a killing, right? I’ll mainly observe during this period, watch for a big drop later to verify whether my prediction was correct.
U.S. stocks have also set new highs. In just a few days, they rallied back. I think this is the final celebration. They lost the war, won on their mouths, but the sustainability of “winning with talk” is poor. In the end, everyone will come to their senses. As for the oil price, it looks like it has already inverted today, and it has entered the same pattern as before.
What I find most hilarious is that Trump said he would block the strait, and China’s Daqing ship went over to escort it. Whether you fight or not, whether you do it or not—turns out the United States chickened out. They didn’t carry out an interception, and then they spoke up saying they would only take action against Iran. On one side, they’re talking in negotiations while constantly causing friction. Meanwhile, the United States itself is also acting like a pirate, carrying out blockades with absolutely no bottom line. The United States is exactly such a country.
The final outcome of the negotiations will definitely be the United States saying that Iran does not possess nuclear weapons (Iran has never said it wants to build nuclear weapons; it has only said that it peacefully has nuclear energy). After lifting some sanctions and paying a bit of money in compensation, it will end—using the Iran nuclear deal that was agreed upon years ago to draw a full stop to this war. Back then, Trump was the one who pulled out of the agreement himself. It’s really shameless.
Just wait and see—let’s see whether my predictions and foresight are right. A big drop is already moving into its volume.