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On Polymarket, the probability that Bitcoin will reach $80k this year is 86%, and the probability of dropping below $50k is 47%.
Mars Finance reports that on April 17, according to Polymarket data, as Bitcoin briefly broke through $76k today, the probability of Bitcoin reaching $80k this year is 86%, up 7% from yesterday; the probability of dropping below $50k is 47%, down 3% from yesterday.