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What happens after the rebound? My next battle plan
Now that the market has moved this far, it’s time to calm down and think about the next step. BTC broke through $76,300, the first time in 73 days that the daily candle closed above $75,000. But let me lay out my three scenarios directly.
Current key market data:
BTC is quoted around $76,300, up 1.94% in 24 hours. ORDI is currently at $9.022, up 212% in 24 hours. SATS is up 58%, NEIRO up 48%, and AXL up 45%. Altcoin rotation has been fully rolling out—MOVR is up over 202%, with Polkadot ecosystem following up. The crypto fear index is 22, extremely fearful. In the past 24 hours, liquidations across the entire market totaled over $115 million, and shorts account for 75%. Note that ORDI has already pulled back from its $10.7 high to around $9; people who chased higher are starting to take losses on the retracement.
My three scenarios:
Plan A: If BTC holds above 77K and volume increases.
Altcoin rotation has already been underway. MOVR’s 202% jump shows capital is searching for dips everywhere. I will increase my altcoin position from 30% to 40%. The focus is adding to the BRC-20 segment—tokens that haven’t started yet—and lagging Polkadot ecosystem tokens. At the same time, I’ll move ORDI’s profit-trailing stop-loss up to 30% above the cost basis.
Plan B: If BTC ranges and consolidates in the 75K-76K zone.
Keep the current positions unchanged. During the consolidation, rotation will keep going, but don’t chase. Tokens like MOVR that rally 200% in a day—once you enter, you’re essentially betting on size. My response is to play dead, letting the profit positions fly on their own.
Plan C: If BTC breaks below 73K.
Unconditionally close all altcoin profit positions. Also reduce the principal position by half. Shorts have already been bloodied in one round—if it falls again, it becomes long liquidation/“bull trap” territory. Save bullets for the next wave of panic selling so you can pick up the bodies.
No matter which scenario plays out, I’ve already thought through countermeasures in advance. Trading isn’t about guessing—it’s about having a pre-made plan.
#山寨币强势反弹